Manabe, S., and R. J. Stouffer, 1995: Simulation of abrupt climate
change induced by freshwater input to the North Atlantic Ocean. Nature,
378, 165-167.
Abstract: Temperature records from Greenland ice cores suggest that
large and abrupt changes of North Atlantic climate occurred frequently
during both glacial and postglacial periods; one example is the Younger
Dryas cold event. Broecker speculated that these changes result from rapid
changes in the thermohaline circulation of the Atlantic Ocean, which were
caused by the release of large amounts of melt water from continental ice
sheets. Here we describe an attempt to explore this intriguing phenomenon
using a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. In response to a massive surface
flux of fresh water to the northern North Atlantic of the model, the thermohaline
circulation weakens abruptly, intensifies and weakens again, followed by
a gradual recovery, generating episodes that resemble the abrupt changes
of the ocean-atmosphere system recorded in ice and deep-sea cores. The
associated change of surface air temperature is particularly large in the
northern North Atlantic Ocean and it neighbourhood, but is relatively small
in the rest of the world.