Sarmiento, J. L., C. Le Quéré, and S. W. Pacala, 1995:
Limiting future atmospheric carbon dioxide. Global Biogeochemical
Cycles, 9(1), 121-137.
Abstract: We estimate anthropogenic carbon emissions required to
stabilize future atmospheric CO2 at various
levels ranging from 350 ppm to 750 ppm. Over the next three centuries,
uptake by the ocean and terrestrial biosphere would permit emissions to
be 3 to 6 times greater than the total atmospheric increase, with each
of them contributing approximately equal amounts. Owing to the nonlinear
dependence of oceanic and terrestrial biospheric uptake on CO2
concentration, the uptake by these two sinks decreases substantially at
higher atmospheric CO2 levels. The uptake
also decreases with increased atmospheric CO2
growth rate. All the stabilization scenarios require a substantial future
reduction in emissions.