Philander, S. G. H., R. C. Pacanowski, N-C. Lau, and M. J. Nath, 1992:
Simulation of ENSO with a global atmospheric GCM coupled to a high-resolution,
tropical Pacific Ocean GCM. Journal of Climate, 5(4),
308-329.
Abstract: A global atmospheric general circulation model (GCM) coupled
to an oceanic GCM that is dynamically active only in the tropical Pacific
simulates variability over a broad spectrum of frequencies even though
the forcing, the annual mean incoming solar radiation, is steady. Of special
interest is the simulation of a realistically irregular Southern Oscillation
between warm El Niño and cold La Niña states. Its time scale
is on the order of 5 years. The spatial structure is strikingly different
in the eastern and western halves of the ocean basin. Sea surface temperature
changes have their largest amplitude in the central and eastern tropical
Pacific, but the low-frequency zonal wind fluctuations are displaced westward
and are large over the western half of the basin. These zonal wind anomalies
are essentially confined to the band of latitudes 10°N to 10°S so that they form a jet and have considerable latitudinal shear. During
El Niño the associated curl contributes to a pair of pronounced
minima in thermocline depth, symmetrically about the equator in the west,
near 8°N and 8°S. In the east, where the low-frequency
wind forcing is at a minimum, the deepening of the thermocline in response
to the winds in the west have a very different shape-an approximate Gaussian
shape centered on the equator.
The low-frequency sea surface temperature and zonal wind anomalies wax
and wane practically in place and in phase without significant zonal phase
propagation. Thermocline depth variations have phase propagation; it is
eastward at a speed near 15 cm s-1 along
the equator in the western half of the basin and is westward off the equator.
This phase propagation, a property of the oceanic response to the
quasi-periodic
winds that force currents and excite a host of waves with periods near
5 years, indicates that the ocean is not in equilibrium with the forcing.
In other words, the ocean-atmosphere interactions that cause El Niño
to develop at a certain time are countered and, in due course, reversed
by the delayed response of the ocean to earlier winds. This "delayed
oscillator" mechanism that sustains interannual oscillations in the
model differs in its details from that previously discussed by Schopf and
Suarez and others. The latter investigators invoke an explicit role for
Kelvin and Rossby waves. These waves cannot be identified in the low-frequency
fluctuations of this model, but they are energetic at relatively short
periods and are of vital importance to a quasi-resonant oceanic mode with
a period near 7 months that is excited in the model. The similarities and
differences between the results of this simulation and those with other
models, especially the one described in a companion paper, are discussed.