Wetherald, R. T., and S. Manabe, 1986: An investigation of cloud cover change in response to thermal forcing. Climatic Change, 8, 5-23.
Abstract: The role of cloud cover in determining the sensitivity of climate has been
a source of great uncertainty. This article reviews the distributions of
cloud cover change from several climate sensitivity experiments conducted
at the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory of NOAA (GFDL) and other institutions.
Two of the sensitivity experiments conducted at GFDL used a general circulation
model with a limited computational domain and idealized geography, whereas
three other experiments were conducted by the use of a global model with
realistic geography. A thermal forcing imposed was either a change of solar
constant or that of the CO2-concentration in the atmosphere. It was found that in all five cases, clouds
were decreased in the moist, convectively active regions such as the tropical
and middle latitude rainbelts, whereas they increased in the stable region
near the model surface from middle to higher latitudes. In addition, cloud
also increased in the lower model stratosphere and generally decreased in
the middle and upper troposphere for practically all latitudes.
A comparison of the cloud changes obtained from investigations carried
out at other institutions reveals certain qualitative (but not necessarily
quantitative) similarities to the GFDL results. These similarities include
a general reduction of tropospheric cloud cover especially in the vicinity
of the rainbelts, a general increase of lower stratospheric cloud cover
for almost all latitudes and an increase of low stratiform cloud in high
latitudes.