Kang, I-S., and N-C. Lau, 1986: Principal modes of atmospheric variability in model atmospheres with and without anomalous sea surface temperature
forcing in the tropical Pacific. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 43 (22), 2719-2735.
Abstract: Principal modes of low-frequency atmospheric variability and the influence
of sea surface temperature anomalies on such modes are investigated by examining
the output from two general circulation model experiments. In the first
experiment (the "control run"), all boundary forcings were constrained to
evolve through 15 identical annual cycles. In the second experiment (the
"SST runs"), the sea surface temperature conditions in the tropical Pacific
Basin were prescribed to follow the actual month-to-month changes observed
during the period 1962-76, which encompasses several El Niño events. The analysis tools employed here include empirical orthogonal
functions, teleconnections and composite charts.
Two prominent modes of variability have been identified in the wintertime
Northern Hemisphere eddy streamfunction of the SST experiment. The first
mode bears a strong spatial resemblance to the observed characteristic circulation
pattern over the North Pacific-North American sector. It is demonstrated
that this mode is highly correlated with the changing SST forcing imposed
over the tropical Pacific, and with various meteorological phenomena accompanying
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The second mode exhibits no significant correlation
with the SST forcing, but is linked instead to a characteristic structure
of the zonally averaged zonal wind. The circulation features related to
this mode are reminiscent of observed anomalies accompanying the North Atlantic
Oscillation, as well as variations of the "zonal index." The fluctuations
associated with the first and second modes in the SST experiment are of
comparable amplitudes. It is further demonstrated that the essential characteristics
of the first and second modes are highly reproducible in another 15-year
simulation initiated from a completely independent set of atmospheric conditions.
A parallel diagnosis of the model behavior in the control run reveals no
signal of the first mode (i.e., that related to ENSO) as previously described.
However, circulation features accompanying the second mode are still discernible
in the control experiment. It is noted that the predominant anomalous phenomena
in the control run are manifestations of the zonal/eddy relationship associated
with the second mode. The mode appearing in both the control and SST runs
is likely related to internal dynamical processes in the model atmosphere
subjected to a fixed boundary forcing.