Mahlman, J. D., and W. J. Moxim, 1978: Tracer simulation using a global general circulation model: results from a midlatitude instantaneous source
experiment. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 35 (8), 1340-1374.
Abstract: An 11-level general circulation model with seasonal variation is used to
perform an experiment on the dispersion of passive tracers. Specially constructed
time-dependent winds from this model are used as input to a separate tracer
model. The methodologies employed to construct the tracer model are described.
The experiment presented is the evolution of a hypothetical instantaneous
source of tracer on 1 January with maximum initial concentration at 65 mb,
36 degrees N, 180 degrees E. The tracer is assumed to have no sources or
sinks in the stratosphere, but is subject to removal processes in the lower
troposphere.
The experimental results reveal a number of similarities to observed tracer
behavior, including the average poleward-downward slope of mixing ratio
isopleths, strong tracer gradients across the tropopause, intrusion of tracer
into the Southern Hemisphere lower stratosphere, and the long-term interhemispheric
exchange rate. The model residence times show behavior intermediate to those
exhibited for particulate radioactive debris and gaseous C14O2. This suggests that caution should be employed when either radioactive
debris or C14O2 data are used to develop empirical models for prediction of gaseous tracers
which are efficiently removed in the troposphere.
In this experiment, the tracer mixing ratio and potential vorticity evolve
to very high correlations. Mechanisms for this correlation are discussed.
The zonal mean tracer balances exhibit complex behavior among the various
transport terms. At early stages, the tracer evolution is dominated by eddy
effects. Later, a very large degree of self-cancellation between mean cell
and eddy effects is observed. During seasonal transitions, however, this
self-cancellation diminishes markedly, leading to significant changes in
the zonal mean tracer distribution. A possible theoretical explanation is
presented.
For this tracer dispersion problem, probably the most significant model
shortcoming is the inability of the general circulation model to produce
the midwinter stratospheric sudden warming phenomenon.